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Quarterly Journal of Economics Vol. 121 No. 1 2006

Earnings Manipulation, Pension Assumptions, and Managerial Investment Decisions

Daniel Bergstresser1; Mihir Desai2; Joshua Rauh3

1 Hillivard Business School · 2 Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center · 3 University of Chicago

Abstract

Managers appear to manipulate firm earnings through their characterizations of pension assets to capital markets and alter investment decisions to justify, and capitalize on, these manipulations. Managers are more aggressive with assumed long-term rates of return when their assumptions have a greater impact on reported earnings. Firms use higher assumed rates of return when they prepare to acquire other firms, when they are near critical earnings thresholds, and when their managers exercise stock options. Changes in assumed returns, in turn, influence pension plan asset allocations. Instrumental variables analysis indicates that 25 basis point increases in assumed rates are associated with 5 percent increases in equity allocations.

DOI
10.1162/003355306776083518
Volume
121
Issue
1
Pages
157-195
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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