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Parity in the Exchange of Future Money and Future Commodities

G. P. Watkins

Washington Center

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1928

The problem and its relation to the supply and demand control of rates of exchange involving future goods, — I. Comparative values of futures and spots in relation to available supplies from crops, 368. — A future trade is an exchange of future money for a future commodity, and does not involve present goods, 370. — II. Indications of a downward bias in grain and cotton futures call for explanation, 372. — III. Bohm-Bawerk's theory of a discount on the future is quite another matter, 375. — IV. But a difference in the relative valuation of money and any specific commodity may be expected according to whether the comparison pertains to the present or to the future, 377. — This situation as expressed in terms of mathematical inequalities, 379. — V. Commercial experience and observation of the comparative value of “immediates,” 379. — The downward bias costly to hedge sellers, 383. — VI. Conclusion, — The present article calls attention to a neglected condition, and perhaps suggests a needed addition to theory, 385.

DOI
10.2307/1884783
Volume
42 (3)
Pages
366
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