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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 101 No. 6 1993

How Prudent are Consumers?

Karen E. Dynan

Abstract

Using data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey, this paper presents a simple test that provides an explicit estimate of the parameter in the utility function that reflects the strength of the precautionary saving motive, the coefficient of relative prudence. The test yields a fairly precise estimate of a small precautionary motive; in fact, the estimate is too small to be consistent with widely accepted beliefs about risk aversion. The presence of liquidity-constrained households does not appear to explain this finding and there is some evidence that self-selection of households into risky environments also cannot explain the results.

DOI
10.1086/261916
Volume
101
Issue
6
Pages
1104-1113
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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