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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 90 No. 1 1982

Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Matter? An Econometric Investigation

Frederic S. Mishkin

National Bureau of Economic Research

Abstract

A heated debate has arisen over the policy ineffectiveness proposition associate with the work of Lucas, Sargent, and Wallace. It postulates that anticipated aggregate demand policy will have no effect on business-cycle fluctuations, so that one deterministic, feedback policy rule is as good as any other from the point of view of stabilizing the economy. This paper develops a methodology for empirically analyzing rational-expectations models displaying this neutrality result and then applies it to the important question of whether anticipated monetary policy matters to the business cycle.

DOI
10.1086/261038
Volume
90
Issue
1
Pages
22-51
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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