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On Measuring Natural Resource Scarcity

Robert Halvorsen; Tim Smith

Journal of Political Economy 1984

Conclusions concerning trends in natural resource scarcity may depend critically on the choice of scarcity index. Unfortunately, the prevalence of vertical integration in natural resource industries has hindered the use of some otherwise desirable scarcity measures. In this paper duality theory is used to derive an econometric procedure for estimating one such measure, the shadow price of the resource in situ. Empirical results for the Canadian metal mining industry indicate that resource scarcity as measured by this shadow price has decreased substantially over time.

DOI
10.1086/261266
Volume
92 (5)
Pages
954-964
Language
en
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