← Search

Journal of Political Economy Vol. 134 No. 1 2026

A Study of the Microdynamics of Early-Childhood Learning

James J. Heckman1; Jin Zhou2

1 University of Chicago · 2 City University of Hong Kong

open access

Abstract

This paper investigates the weekly evolution of skills as measured by unique data from a widely-emulated early childhood home-visiting program in rural China. The design of the study avoids input endogeneity issues and lack of comparable measures of skills that plague previous studies. Skills, nominally classified as the same, in fact, do not appear to share a common unit scale across levels. They are produced by skill-lifecycle-stage-specific learning processes. A novel dynamic stochastic skill production model for multiple skills is developed, aligning with empirical evidence. The model explains the "fadeout" of measures of learning through forgetting or depreciation of skills.

DOI
10.1086/739256
Volume
134
Issue
1
Pages
49-85
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

Cite