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Journal of Political Economy Vol. 87 No. 1 1979

Evidence on Structural Change in the Demand for Aggregate U.S. Imports and Exports

Robert M. Stern; Christopher F. Baum; Mark N. Greene

Abstract

Earlier work on U.S. import demand suggest that structural change may have occurred sometime in the mid-1960s. Since this evidence was based upon a somewhat arbitrary splitting of the sample period, the dating of change is uncertain. In this paper we investigate the question of structural change for both U.S. imports and exports, using a procedure that lets the data determine if and when structural change may have occurred. We find weak evidence of structural change for imports in the mid- to late 1960s and much stronger evidence in 1972:1 and thereafter. There is no evidence of structural change for exports.

DOI
10.1086/260746
Volume
87
Issue
1
Pages
179-192
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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