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A Simulation Analysis of the Effects of Population Change on a Neoclassical Economy

Frank T. Denton; Byron G. Spencer

Journal of Political Economy 1973

This paper is concerned with the effects of variations in demographic factors on the time paths of major economic variables. A theoretical macromodel of an economic-demographic system is specified, with numerical parameters. This model is used in computer simulations to study the economic effects of exogenous changes in fertility and immigration rates. A cohort approach is emphasized in the specification of both demographic and economic relationships. Simulation results are reported for a variety of real and artificial time patterns of fertility and immigration under different assumptions about the values of the principal parameters of the economic relationships.

DOI
10.1086/260032
Volume
81 (2, Part 1)
Pages
356-375
Language
en
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