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The Origin of the State: Land Productivity or Appropriability? A Comment

Nikolai Cook1; Thibaut Duprey2; Anthony Heyes3; Martino Pelli4

1 Wilfrid Laurier University · 2 Bank of Canada · 3 University of Birmingham · 4 Asian Development Bank

Journal of Political Economy 2026

Mayshar et al. (2022) apply an instrumental variables identification strategy to data from nearly 1,000 societies included in the Ethnographic Atlas to claim that cultivation of cereals (appropriable by elites), rather than increased land productivity following the adoption of agriculture, led to the development of the state. We show two things. (1) Evidence for the appropriability theory holds when moving from a tribe-chiefdom to a state and not more broadly. (2) Conclusions are driven by a handful of outliers with statistical significance at the 10% level lost with winsorization at 2.1% (or trimming at 1.2%) of locations by cereal advantage.

DOI
10.1086/740225
Volume
134 (7)
Pages
2215-2220
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
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