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American Economic Review Vol. 107 No. 5 2017

Firm-Related Risk and Precautionary Saving Response

Andreas Fagereng1; Luigi Guiso2; Luigi Pistaferri3

1 Research Department, Statistics Norway, Postboks 8131 Dep., NO-0033 Oslo, Norway (e-mail: ) · 2 Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance, Via Sallustiana 62, 00187 Rome, Italy (e-mail: ) · 3 Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 (e-mail: )

Abstract

We propose a new approach to identify the strength of the precautionary motive and the extent of self-insurance in response to earnings risk based on Euler equation estimates. To address endogeneity problems, we use Norwegian administrative data and instrument consumption and earnings volatility with the variance of firm-specific shocks. The instrument is valid because firms pass some of their productivity shocks onto wages; moreover, for most workers, firm shocks are hard to avoid. Our estimates suggest a coefficient of relative prudence of 2, in a very plausible range.

DOI
10.1257/aer.p20171093
Volume
107
Issue
5
Pages
393-397
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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