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American Economic Review 1978

Optimal investment strategy for boomtowns: a theoretical analysis

Ronald G. Cummings; William D. Schulze

Abstract

An investment model is suggested as an improvement over intuition in setting government policies aimed at providing an optimal social infrastructure for boom towns. Using the decision environment and economic characteristics of a Rocky Mountain state boom town, the model shows that low interest rates and early front-end investment produce the greatest stability, while delayed investment contributes to instability. Policy implications derive from the fact that ad valorem property taxes for investment are generally collectible only after construction is completed. Of equal importance to the timing and amount of investment funds is the source of repayment funds. These could be broadened to include wage or use taxes during the construction period.

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