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True and Spurious Duration Dependence: The Identifiability of the Proportional Hazard Model

Chris Elbers; Geert Ridder

University of Amsterdam

Review of Economic Studies 1982

Lancaster and Nickell (1980) have argued that in the proportional hazard model the effects of time dependence (true duration dependence) and unobserved sample heterogeneity (spurious duration dependence) cannot be distinguished. We show that both effects can be distinguished if the model allows for observed explanatory variables in the hazard. We also discuss the application of our result to practical situations.

DOI
10.2307/2297364
Volume
49 (3)
Pages
403
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