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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 94 No. 1 2012

Plausibly Exogenous

Timothy G. Conley; Christian Hansen; Peter E. Rossi

University of Chicago

Abstract

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely used to identify causal effects in models with endogenous explanatory variables. Often the instrument exclusion restriction that underlies the validity of the usual IV inference is suspect; that is, instruments are only plausibly exogenous. We present practical methods for performing inference while relaxing the exclusion restriction. We illustrate the approaches with empirical examples that examine the effect of 401(k) participation on asset accumulation, price elasticity of demand for margarine, and returns to schooling. We find that inference is informative even with a substantial relaxation of the exclusion restriction in two of the three cases.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00139
Volume
94
Issue
1
Pages
260-272
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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