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Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries

Nir Jaimovich1; Henry Siu2

1 University of Zurich and CEPR · 2 University of British Columbia and NBER

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2020 open access

Job polarization refers to the shrinking share of employment in middle-skill, routine occupations experienced over the past 35 years. Jobless recoveries refers to the slow rebound in aggregate employment following recent recessions despite recoveries in aggregate output. We show how these two phenomena are related. First, essentially all employment loss in routine occupations occurs in economic downturns. Second, jobless recoveries in the aggregate can be accounted for by jobless recoveries in the routine occupations that are disappearing.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00875
Volume
102 (1)
Pages
129-147
Language
en
Export
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