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Estimating the Impact of Trade and Offshoring on American Workers using the Current Population Surveys

Avraham Ebenstein1; Ann Harrison2; Margaret McMillan3; Shannon Phillips4

1 Hebrew University of Jerusalem · 2 University of Pennsylvania · 3 Tufts University · 4 Boston College

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2014

We link industry-level data on trade and offshoring with individual-level worker data from the Current Population Surveys from 1984 to 2002. We find that occupational exposure to globalization is associated with significant wage effects, while industry exposure has no significant impact. We present evidence that globalization has put downward pressure on worker wages through the reallocation of workers away from higher-wage manufacturing jobs into other sectors and other occupations. Using a panel of workers, we find that occupation switching due to trade led to real wage losses of 12 to 17 percentage points.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00400
Volume
96 (4)
Pages
581-595
Language
en
Export
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