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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 85 No. 3 2003

Unemployment Risk and Precautionary Wealth: Evidence from Households' Balance Sheets

Christopher D. Carroll1; Karen E. Dynan2; Spencer D. Krane3

1 Johns Hopkins University · 2 Federal Reserve Board of Governors · 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

open access

Abstract

This paper examines precautionary behavior by relating job-loss risk to household net worth. We use existing best practice and some new strategies to deal with some problematic issues inherent in this literature regarding proxying uncertainty, instrumentation, and incorporating theoretical restrictions. We do not find precautionary variation in the wealth holdings of households with low permanent income, but do find precautionary effects for moderate and higher-income households. When the dependent variable is total net worth, these findings are robust to several alternative specifications. But we do not find precautionary responses in subaggregates of wealth that exclude home equity.

DOI
10.1162/003465303322369740
Volume
85
Issue
3
Pages
586-604
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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