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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 103 No. 2 2021

Contact versus Exposure: Refugee Presence and Voting for the Far Right

Andreas Steinmayr

University of Innsbruck, IZA, CESifo, and Immigration Policy Lab

Abstract

This paper investigates how different forms of exposure to refugees affect voting for Far Right parties. I study the state of Upper Austria where many municipalities hosted asylum seekers and also experienced a massive flow of refugees crossing into Germany in 2015. Exposure to refugees passing through border municipalities increased Far Right votes by about 1.5 percentage points, which suggests that mere exposure can increase Far Right support. Conversely, contact and sustained interactions between natives and asylum seekers in hosting municipalities decreased Far Right votes by about 4 percentage points, which is in line with the intergroup contact theory.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00922
Volume
103
Issue
2
Pages
310-327
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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