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Do Spillovers Matter When Estimating Private Returns to R&D?

Markus Eberhardt1; Christian Helmers2; Hubert Strauß

1 University of Nottingham · 2 Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2013 open access

A large body of literature estimates private returns to R&D adopting the Griliches knowledge production framework, which ignores the potential impact of spillovers on consistent estimation. Using a panel of twelve manufacturing industries across ten OECD economies, we investigate whether ignoring spillovers leads to bias in the estimated private returns to R&D. We compare results from a common factor framework, which accounts for spillovers and other unobserved shocks, to those from a standard Griliches approach. Our findings confirm that conventional estimates conflate own-R&D and spillover effects, implying that spillovers cannot be ignored even when the interest lies exclusively in evaluating private returns to R&D.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00272
Volume
95 (2)
Pages
436-448
Language
en
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