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Temporal Stability of Time Preferences

Stephan Meier1; Charles D. Sprenger2

1 Columbia University · 2 Stanford University

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2015 open access

The preferences assumed to govern intertemporal trade-offs are generally considered to be stable economic primitives, though evidence on this stability is notably lacking. We present evidence from a large field study conducted over two years, with around 1,400 individuals using incentivized intertemporal choice experiments. Aggregate choice profiles and corresponding estimates of discount parameters are unchanged over the two years and individual correlations through time are high by existing standards. However, some individuals show signs of instability. By linking experimental measures to administrative tax records, we showthat identified instability is uncorrelated with both levels and changes in sociodemographic variables.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00433
Volume
97 (2)
Pages
273-286
Language
en
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