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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 96 No. 1 2014

Liar's Loan? Effects of Origination Channel and Information Falsification on Mortgage Delinquency

Wei Jiang1; Ashlyn Aiko Nelson2; Edward Vytlacil3

1 Columbia Business School · 2 Indiana University · 3 New York University

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of mortgage delinquency between 2004 and 2008 using a loan-level data set from a major national mortgage bank. Our analysis highlights two problems underlying the mortgage crisis: a reliance on mortgage brokers who tend to originate lower-quality loans and a prevalence of low-documentation loans—known in the industry as “liar's loans”—that result in borrower information falsification. While over three-quarters of the difference in delinquency rates between bank and broker channels can be attributed to observable loan and borrower characteristics, the delinquency difference between full- and low-documentation mortgages is due to unobservable heterogeneity, about half of it potentially due to income falsification.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00387
Volume
96
Issue
1
Pages
1-18
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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