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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 101 No. 1 2019

How the Reformulation of OxyContin Ignited the Heroin Epidemic

William N. Evans1; Ethan M. J. Lieber2; Patrick Power3

1 University of Notre Dame and NBER · 2 University of Notre Dame · 3 Boston University

open access

Abstract

We attribute the recent quadrupling of heroin death rates to the August 2010 reformulation of an oft-abused prescription opioid, OxyContin. The new abuse-deterrent formulation led many consumers to substitute an inexpensive alternative, heroin. Using structural break techniques and variation in substitution risk, we find that opioid consumption stops rising in August 2010, heroin deaths begin climbing the following month, and growth in heroin deaths was greater in areas with greater prereformulation access to heroin and opioids. The reformulation did not generate a reduction in combined heroin and opioid mortality: each prevented opioid death was replaced with a heroin death.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00755
Volume
101
Issue
1
Pages
1-15
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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