← Search

The Time-Varying Effect of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

Pascal Paul

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2020 open access

This paper studies how monetary policy jointly affects asset prices and the real economy in the United States. I develop an estimator that uses high-frequency surprises as a proxy for the structural monetary policy shocks. This is achieved by integrating the surprises into a vector autoregressive model as an exogenous variable. I use current short-term rate surprises because these are least affected by an information effect. When allowing for time-varying model parameters, I find that compared to the response of output, the reaction of stock and house prices to monetary policy shocks was particularly low before the 2007–2009 financial crisis.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00840
Volume
102 (4)
Pages
690-704
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
Sources
openalex crossref