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Technology Diffusion and Productivity Growth in Health Care

Jonathan Skinner1; Douglas Staiger2,1

1 Dartmouth Hospital · 2 Dartmouth College

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2015 open access

We draw on macroeconomic models of diffusion and productivity to explain empirical patterns of survival gains in heart attacks. Using Medicare data for 2.8 million patients during 1986-2004, we find that hospitals rapidly adopting cost-effective innovations such as beta blockers, aspirin, and reperfusion, had substantially better outcomes for their patients. Holding technology adoption constant, the marginal returns to spending were relatively modest. Hospitals increasing the pace of technology diffusion ("tigers") experienced triple the survival gains compared to those with diminished rates ("tortoises"). In sum, small differences in the propensity to adopt effective technology lead to wide productivity differences across hospitals.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00535
Volume
97 (5)
Pages
951-964
Language
en
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