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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 100 No. 2 2018

How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions

Charles F. Manski1; John V. Pepper2

1 Northwestern University · 2 University of Virginia

open access

Abstract

Despite dozens of studies, research on crime has struggled to reach consensus about the impact of right-to-carry (RTC) gun laws. With this in mind, we formalize and apply a class of bounded-variation assumptions that flexibly restrict the degree to which outcomes may vary across time and space. Using these assumptions, we present empirical analysis of the effect of RTC laws on violent and property crimes in Virginia, Maryland, and Illinois. Imposing specific assumptions that we believe worthy of consideration, we find that RTC laws increase some crimes, decrease other crimes, and have effects that vary over time for others.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00689
Volume
100
Issue
2
Pages
232-244
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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