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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 104 No. 5 2022

Expectations with Endogenous Information Acquisition: An Experimental Investigation

Andreas Fuster1; Ricardo Perez-Truglia2; Mirko Wiederholt3; Basit Zafar4

1 EPFL and Swiss Finance Institute · 2 University of California, Berkeley · 3 Sciences Po · 4 University of Michigan

open access

Abstract

We use a survey experiment to generate direct evidence on how people acquire and process information. Participants can buy different information signals that could help them forecast future national home prices. We elicit their valuations and exogenously vary the cost of information. Participants put substantial value on their preferred signal and, when acquired, incorporate the signal in their beliefs. However, they disagree on which signal to buy. As a result, making information cheaper does not decrease the cross-sectional dispersion of expectations. We provide a model with costly acquisition and processing of information, which can match most of our empirical results.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00994
Volume
104
Issue
5
Pages
1059-1078
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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