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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 101 No. 1 2019

Import Competition and Internal Migration

Andrew Greenland1; John Lopresti2; Peter McHenry2

1 Elon University · 2 College ofWilliam and Mary

Abstract

We examine the U.S. internal migration response to increased import competition following the granting of Permanent Normal Trade Relations to China in 2001. Using a variety of data sets and empirical approaches, we find that local labor markets most exposed to the policy change experienced a relative reduction in population growth over the following decade. The majority of the effect occurs at a lag of seven to ten years and is most pronounced among young individuals and low-education groups. Such population adjustments should influence the interpretation of evidence in the growing literature on import competition and local labor markets.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00751
Volume
101
Issue
1
Pages
44-59
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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