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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 95 No. 4 2013

Income and Health Spending: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks

Daron Acemoglu1; Amy Finkelstein1; Matthew Notowidigdo2

1 MIT and NBER · 2 University of Chicago Booth School of Business and NBER

open access

Abstract

Health expenditures as a share of GDP in the United States have more than tripled over the past half-century. A common conjecture is that this is a consequence of rising income. We investigate this hypothesis by instrumenting for local area income with time series variation in oil prices interacted with local oil reserves. This strategy enables us to capture both partial equilibrium and local general equilibrium effects of income on health expenditures. Our central income elasticity estimate is 0.7, with 1.1 as the upper end of the 95% confidence interval, which suggests that rising income is unlikely to be a major driver of the rising health expenditure share of GDP.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00306
Volume
95
Issue
4
Pages
1079-1095
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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