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Aggregate Effects from Public Works: Evidence from India

C. Justin Cook1; Manisha Shah2

1 University of California, Merced · 2 University of California–Los Angeles and NBER.

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2022

Abstract This paper explores the aggregate economic effects from India's National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (NREGS), which provides up to 100 days of labor to rural laborers at the mandated minimum wage. We examine the within-district change to nighttime lights, a proxy for economic development, and banking deposits using the staggered program rollout for identification. We find consistent and robust evidence that NREGS increased aggregate economic output by 1% to 2% per capita measured by nighttime lights. This effect, however, is not equal across districts. We observe no positive effect of the program in poorer districts, illuminating an important source of heterogeneity.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00993
Volume
104 (4)
Pages
797-806
Language
en
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