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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 96 No. 3 2014

Contrast Effects in Sequential Decisions: Evidence from Speed Dating

Saurabh Bhargava1; Ray Fisman2

1 Carnegie Mellon University · 2 Columbia University

Abstract

We provide an empirical test of contrast effects—a bias where a decision maker perceives information in contrast to what preceded it—in the quasi-experimental context of speed dating decisions. We document that prior partner attractiveness reduces the subsequent likelihood of an affirmative dating decision. This relationship is confined to recent interactions, consistent with a perceptual error, but not learning or the presence of a quota in affirmative responses. The contrast effect is driven almost entirely by male evaluators. Additional evidence documents the effect's linearity with respect to prior partner attractiveness, its amplification for partners of moderate attractiveness, and its partial attenuation with accumulated experience.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00416
Volume
96
Issue
3
Pages
444-457
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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