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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 98 No. 3 2016

One-Child Policy and the Rise of Man-Made Twins

Wei Huang1,2,3; Xiaoyan Lei4; Yaohui Zhao4

1 Harvard University · 2 Harvard University Press · 3 Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center · 4 Peking University

Abstract

This paper examines an unintended response to the one-child policy in China: births of twins. Analysis of population census data shows that the one-child policy has accounted for more than one-third of the increase in the reported births of twins since the 1970s. Investigation using birth spacing with prior births and height difference within twins suggests that the increase in the birth of twins is partly due to parents reporting regularly spaced children as twins to avoid the policy violation punishment. The study highlights the possibility of individual behavioral response to undesirable government policies and the potential social consequences.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00567
Volume
98
Issue
3
Pages
467-476
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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