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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 97 No. 5 2015

Some Inconvenient Truths about Climate Change Policy: The Distributional Impacts of Transportation Policies

Stephen P. Holland1,2; Jonathan E. Hughes3; Christopher R. Knittel1,4,5; Nathan Parker6

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of North Carolina at Greensboro · 3 University of Colorado System · 4 Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology · 5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 6 University of California, Davis

open access

Abstract

Climate policy has favored costly measures that implicitly or explicitly subsidize lowcarbon fuels.We simulate four transportation sector policies: cap and trade (CAT), ethanol subsidies, a renewable fuel standard (RFS), and a lowcarbon fuel standard. Our simulations confirm that alternatives to CAT are 2.5 to 4 times more costly but are amenable to adoption due to right-skewed distributions of gains. We analyze voting on the Waxman-Markey (WM) CAT bill. Conditional on a district’s CAT gains, a district’s RFS gains are negatively correlated with the likelihood of voting for WM. Our analysis supports campaign contributions as a partial mechanism.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00452
Volume
97
Issue
5
Pages
1052-1069
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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