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Distributing Pollution Rights in Cap-and-Trade Programs: Are Outcomes Independent of Allocation?

Meredith Fowlie; Jeffrey M. Perloff

University of California, Berkeley

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2013

Abstract Standard economic theory predicts that if property rights to pollute are clearly established, equilibrium outcomes in an efficient emissions permit market will be independent of how the emissions permits are initially distributed. This so-called independence property has important implications for policy design and implementation. Past studies document a strong positive correlation between the initial permit allocation and firm-level emissions, raising concerns that the independence property is failing to hold in real-world settings. We exploit the random assignment of firms to different permit allocation cycles in Southern California's RECLAIM program in order to test the independence of permit allocation and emissions. Our results lend empirical support to the independence hypothesis.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00345
Volume
95 (5)
Pages
1640-1652
Language
en
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