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The Local Influence of Pioneer Investigators on Technology Adoption: Evidence from New Cancer Drugs

Leila Agha1; David Molitor2

1 Dartmouth College and NBER · 2 University of Illinois and NBER

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2018 open access

Local opinion leaders may play a key role in easing information frictions associated with technology adoption. This paper analyzes the influence of physician investigators who lead clinical trials for new cancer drugs. By comparing diffusion patterns across 21 new cancer drugs, we separate correlated regional demand for new technology from information spillovers. Patients in the lead investigator's region are initially 36% more likely to receive the new drug, but utilization converges within four years. We also find that superstar physician authors, measured by trial role or citation history, have broader influence than less prominent authors.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00670
Volume
100 (1)
Pages
29-44
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
Sources
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