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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 83 No. 1 2001

Why Kill the Golden Goose? A Political-Economy Model of Export Taxation

Margaret McMillan

Tufts University

Abstract

Why do governments tax exports at rates that are ultimately self-defeating? An answer may lie in the time-inconsistent nature of a low-tax policy. Using a dynamic model of export taxation, I show that the sustainability of a low-tax policy depends on three variables: the ratio of sunk costs to total costs, how heavily future export revenue is discounted, and expected future export earnings. Using data on taxation, leadership duration, and profitability, I test this theory for 32 countries and six crops from Sub-Saharan Africa. These three variables are statistically and economically relevant predictors of tax regime.

DOI
10.1162/003465301750160135
Volume
83
Issue
1
Pages
170-184
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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