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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 99 No. 3 2017

Green Expectations: Current Effects of Anticipated Carbon Pricing

Derek Lemoine

University of Arizona

open access

Abstract

I report evidence that an anticipated strengthening of environmental policy increased emissions. I find that the breakdown of the U.S. Senate's 2010 climate effort generated positive excess returns in coal futures markets. This response appears to be driven by an increase in coal storage. The proposed legislation aimed to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas emissions after 2013, but the legislative process itself may have increased emissions by over 12 million tons of carbon dioxide leading up to April 2010.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00627
Volume
99
Issue
3
Pages
499-513
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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