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Evidence on the Demographic Transition

Carol Scotese Lehr

Virginia Commonwealth University

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2009

This paper finds that fertility responds to productivity differently depending on the economy's stage of development. At low levels of development, productivity increases will increase fertility, while at the more advanced stages of development, productivity increases lower fertility. During the process, there may be important interaction effects between productivity and education demand. Increases in secondary education demand generate fertility declines regardless of the stage of development.

DOI
10.1162/rest.91.4.871
Volume
91 (4)
Pages
871-887
Language
en
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