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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 102 No. 5 2020

Does Medicare Reimbursement Drive Up Drug Launch Prices?

David B. Ridley1; Chung-Ying Lee2

1 Duke University · 2 National Taiwan University

Abstract

Medicare reimburses health care providers for the drugs they administer. Since 2005, it has reimbursed based on the past price of the drug. Reimbursement on past prices could motivate manufacturers to set higher launch prices because providers become less sensitive to price and because provider reimbursement is higher if past prices were higher. Using data on drug launch prices between 1999 and 2010, we estimate that reimbursement based on past prices caused launch prices to rise dramatically. The evidence is consistent with the 2018 claim from Medicare's administrator that it “creates a perverse incentive for manufacturers to set higher prices.”

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00849
Volume
102
Issue
5
Pages
980-993
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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