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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 80 No. 1 1998

Characterizing Cross-Country Consumption Correlations

Michael R. Pakko

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Abstract

General equilibrium models of international fluctuations that assume complete asset markets predict that consumption will be highly correlated across countries, while the data display correlations that are rather low. It has become common to characterize this empirical regularity by noting that cross-country consumption correlations tend to be lower than corresponding output correlations. This note reconsiders that charac-terization and demonstrates that it is not particularly robust. It also documents a related regularity that is more pervasive: Consumption fluctuations are more highly correlated with domestic production than with world output. This provides an alternative standard for evaluating models of international fluctuations.

DOI
10.1162/003465398557285
Volume
80
Issue
1
Pages
169-174
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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