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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 76 No. 1 1994

National Saving and Budget Deficits

Robert Eisner

Abstract

It has been widely argued that government budget deficits reduce national saving. Estimated relations indicate otherwise, both for the traditional or conventional, 'official' measure of national saving and a broader, more relevant measure, encompassing government and household as well as private business investment in tangible capital. Greater price-adjusted, high-employment deficits, increases in the real monetary base, and declines in real exchange rates have all been associated with more subsequent national saving. These relations, manifest in AR(1) regressions over the 1972-91, period were confirmed in vector autoregressions.

DOI
10.2307/2109836
Volume
76
Issue
1
Pages
181
Sources
crossref openalex

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