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The Growth of Debt and Money in the United States, 1800-1950: A Suggested Interpretation

John G. Gurley; Eleanor Shaw

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1957

THIS study is concerned with the optimal, or warranted, growth of the monetary system. It constructs a rudimentary model of financial developrlent and deduces optimal trends in the money supply from a demand equation for money balances that is sensitive to both real and financial phenomena of growth. This model, we suggest, is relevant in both retrospect and prospect to the American economy. Against the trends that emerge from the model we array data on this country's financial and monetary experience since i8oo. The fit may be good enough to justify further experimentation with the demand equation for money as one basis for defining secular standards of monetary policy and for revising the structure and interrelationships of our financial institutions, monetary and nonmonetary alike.

DOI
10.2307/1926041
Volume
39 (3)
Pages
250
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