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Fight or Flight: Endogenous Timing in Conflicts

Boris van Leeuwen1; Theo Offerman2; Jeroen van de Ven3

1 Department of Economics, Tilburg University · 2 CREED, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute · 3 ASE, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2022 open access

Abstract We study a dynamic game in which players compete for a prize. In a waiting game with two-sided private information about strength levels, players choose fighting, fleeing, or waiting. Players earn a “deterrence value” on top of the prize if their opponent escapes without a battle. We show that this value is a key determinant of the type of equilibrium. For intermediate values, sorting takes place, with weaker players fleeing before others fight. Time then helps to reduce battles. In an experiment, we find support for the key theoretical predictions and document suboptimal predatory fighting.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00961
Volume
104 (2)
Pages
217-231
Language
en
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