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New Products, Quality Changes, and Welfare Measures Computed from Estimated Demand Systems

Aviv Nevo

University of California, Berkeley

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2003 open access

This paper examines the construction of a price index based on an estimated-demand system. In principle the method examined can produce a price index that takes account of the introduction of new products and quality changes in existing products. However, I isolate two key assumptions that have to be made in order to interpret the demand estimates into welfare measures. Using estimates of a brand-level demand system for ready-to-eat cereal, I demonstrate the empirical importance of the assumptions. For the data I use, depending on the interpretation of the demand estimates, a price index can range between a 35% increase over the five years examined to a 2.4% decrease.

DOI
10.1162/003465303765299792
Volume
85 (2)
Pages
266-275
Language
en
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