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Persistence of Innovation in Dutch Manufacturing: Is It Spurious?

Wladimir Raymond1,2; Pierre Mohnen3,4; Franz C. Palm1,2; Sybrand Schim van der Loeff

1 Maastricht University · 2 Institute of Quantitative and Technical Economics · 3 United Nations University – Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology · 4 Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2010 open access

This paper studies the persistence of innovation in Dutch manufacturing using an unbalanced panel of firm data from four waves of the Community Innovation Survey between 1994 and 2002. We estimate by maximum likelihood a dynamic type 2 tobit model accounting for individual effects and handling the initial conditions problem. We find true persistence in the probability of innovating in the high-tech category of industries and spurious persistence in the low-tech category. Furthermore, past innovation output intensity affects, albeit to a small extent, current innovation output intensity in the high-tech category, while no such evidence is found in the low-tech category.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_00004
Volume
92 (3)
Pages
495-504
Language
en
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