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Inference for Heterogeneous Effects using Low-Rank Estimation of Factor Slopes

Victor Chernozhukov1; Christian Hansen2; Yuan Liao3; Yinchu Zhu4

1 Department of Economics, MIT, Cambridge, MA 02139. [email protected] · 2 University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637. [email protected] · 3 Rutgers University. New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA. [email protected] · 4 Brandeis University, Waltham, MA 02453. [email protected]

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026

Abstract We study a panel data model with heterogeneous effects, allowing slopes to vary across individuals and time. To reduce dimensionality, we assume these slopes follow a factor structure, so slope matrices can be estimated via low-rank regularized regression. We propose a multi-step estimation procedure incorporating sample splitting and partialing-out to enable valid inference after penalized estimation. We establish the asymptotic normality of the resulting estimator, facilitating inference for individualtime- specific effects and their cross-sectional averages. The method’s performance is illustrated through simulations and an empirical application.

DOI
10.1162/rest.a.1735
Pages
1-45
Language
en
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