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The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026

Court Capture, Local Protectionism, and Economic Integration: Evidence from China

Ernest Liu1; Yi Lu2,3; Wenwei Peng4; Shaoda Wang5

1 Department of Economics, Princeton University [email protected] · 2 PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University [email protected] · 3 School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University · 4 Department of Accountancy, Economics and Finance, Hong Kong Baptist University +852 6672 0127 [email protected] · 5 Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago [email protected]

Abstract

Court capture in developing countries is pervasive, yet its economic effects remain underexplored. We study a Chinese reform that transferred financial and personnel authority over local courts from local to provincial governments. Exploiting the staggered roll-out, we find a 7.3% decline in local defendants’ win rates against non-local plaintiffs, alongside improved judicial quality. The reform encouraged smaller non-local firms to litigate and attracted non-local investment, potentially raising GDP by 1.9%. Yet favoritism toward politically connected firms and inter-provincial protectionism remain, and centralization itself promotes less qualified judges— revealing both its promise and limits.

DOI
10.1162/rest.a.1820
Pages
1-46
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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