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The Incidence of Payroll Taxation: Evidence from Chile

Jonathan Gruber1,2

1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 2 National Bureau of Economic Research

Journal of Labor Economics 1997

I provide new evidence on the incidence of payroll taxation by examining the experience of Chile before and after the privatization of its Social Security system. This policy change led to a sharp exogenous reduction in the payroll tax burden on Chilean firms; on average, payroll tax rates fell by 25% over 6 years. Using data from a census of manufacturing firms, I estimate that the incidence of payroll taxation is fully on wages, with no effect on employment. This finding is robust to a variety of empirical approaches to the problem of measurement error in firm‐level measures of taxes/worker.

DOI
10.1086/209877
Volume
15 (S3)
Pages
S72-S101
Language
en
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