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Physician Specialty Choice under Uncertainty

Sean Nicholson

University of Pennsylvania

Journal of Labor Economics 2002

Medical students must receive residency training in a specialty before they can practice medicine in the United States. Since the residents' salaries do not adjust across specialties, residency positions are rationed, and medical students face uncertainty when choosing a specialty. Using a data set with the preferred and realized specialties for 7,200 medical students, I estimate a model where students consider entry probabilities when selecting a specialty. I find that medical students are responsive to expected income differences between specialties, which implies that policies that increase the income of primary care physicians can address shortages in these specialties.

DOI
10.1086/342039
Volume
20 (4)
Pages
816-847
Language
en
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BibTeX
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