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Journal of Labor Economics Vol. 37 No. S2 2019

Push and Pull: Disability Insurance, Regional Labor Markets, and Benefit Generosity in Canada and the United States

Kevin Milligan1,2; Tammy Schirle3

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of British Columbia · 3 Wilfrid Laurier University

Abstract

Disability insurance take-up has expanded substantially in the past 20 years in the United States while shrinking in Canada. We empirically assess these trends by measuring the strength of the “push” from weak labor markets versus the “pull” of more generous benefits. Using an instrumental variables strategy comparing benefit changes across country, age, and year, we find that both benefits and regional wages matter. Simulations suggest that the upswing in disability insurance take-up in the United States would be reversed, dropping the caseload by 41% if benefits and wages had followed the growth path observed in Canada.

DOI
10.1086/703255
Volume
37
Issue
S2
Pages
S289-S323
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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