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Journal of Labor Economics Vol. 37 No. S2 2019

Long Time Out: Unemployment and Joblessness in Canada and the United States

Kory Kroft1; Fabian Lange2; Matthew Notowidigdo3; Matthew Tudball4

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 McGill University · 3 Northwestern University · 4 University of Toronto

Abstract

We compare patterns of unemployment between Canada and the United States during the Great Recession. We document a rise in long-term unemployment in Canada, similar to findings in earlier work. We consider an extended matching model using restricted-access data from the Canadian Labour Force Survey, which contains information on time since last job for both unemployed and nonparticipants. We create a new historical vacancy series for Canada based on relative employment in “recruiting industries” to construct a monthly Beveridge curve for Canada. Allowing for duration dependence in flows between unemployment and nonparticipation is crucial for explaining long-term joblessness.

DOI
10.1086/703258
Volume
37
Issue
S2
Pages
S355-S397
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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