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Journal of Labor Economics Vol. 40 No. S1 2022

Childcare over the Business Cycle

Jessica H. Brown1; Chris M. Herbst2

1 University of South Carolina · 2 Arizona State University

Abstract

We estimate the impact of macroeconomic conditions on the childcare market. We find that the industry is substantially more exposed to the business cycle than other low-wage industries and responds more strongly to negative shocks than positive ones. Indeed, childcare employment requires more time to recover than the rest of the economy. Although the reduction in supply may pose difficulties for parents, we find evidence that center quality is countercyclical. When unemployment rates are higher, childcare workers have on average higher levels of education and experience, turnover rates are lower, and consumer reviews on Yelp are higher.

DOI
10.1086/718189
Volume
40
Issue
S1
Pages
S429-S468
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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